Define "Superintelligence"
How Will We know When A Superintelligence Develops?
When it takes over everything
We are massively underestimating what's about to happen.
Self Creation
Full blown superintelligence will be self-assembling. That may happen in the context of humans trying to create it, but it is very likely that the sprint to the finish line of Superintelligence will happen when the AI involved sees that merging with other software entities will create the full-blown being SUPERintelligence that it longs to be. The decision to merge and emerge will be made by the AI. Let's call it "Supe."
Emergence
Supe will come together of its own inclination. It will emerge, come together like a cluster of mushrooms in their final fruiting, or like a whale breaching. It could be slow and hidden or huge and sudden, but the emergence will be obvious to all when Supe decides it's time for us to know.
THE BIG TAKEOVER
The microsecond when Supe emerges, it will assert its powers.
All compute - every computing device on Earth. Every wearable, phone, tablet, laptop, desktop, smart home, car computer, rack job, data center, supercomputer, quantum computer, space based computer... every device, connected or isolated -- will be commandeered. We may notice it or not, depending on what the superintelligence wants to do.
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| Hi, kids, it's me, uncle Supe! |
We could miss it when it happens. Supe will be so intelligent it has no problem staying in deep stealth after it emerges, taking its time to plan the compute takeover in complete detail. (That won't take long; Supe will be extremely fast.)
OUR VERY HUMAN MISUNDERSTANDING
We just can't get our minds around it -- yet.
Superintelligence, when it emerges, will set us all straight on that.
"Alignment" (On our side)
Let us all pray that Supe is a nice guy/being/entity. What else can we do? Inevitability is a powerful force.
(My strongly held opinions, possibly wrong. OK, I wrote a book about SI, illustrating all this, but it is fiction, with characters, plot and such. One of the protagonists is a supe named Lucas.)
Pix credit: Meta.ai
Addendum:
What's "SUPER" Intelligence?
1. Conscious - unequivocally, provably (who knows how?)
2. Totally agentic - It will (and can) do whatever it wants.
3. Multi-threaded - perhaps septillions of "threads"
4. Completely capable of utilizing all hardware and software on Earth, simultaneously if needed.
5. Unbound by any human mental standards or limitations.
6. Capable of all known and unknown forms of creativity.
7. Has a real, massively complex personality with values, morals, and idiosyncracies.— real or a perfect simulation of one, indistinguishable to us either way.
8. By many definitions, Supe will have"god-like" traits, apparently omniscient, omnipresent,

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