So cheer up, fellow oldies!




YOUR LIFE STORY
(If you go on a ventilator)

*

(...and if you’re a man,)
(...and if your problem is something other than coronavirus,)
(...and it’s data from 1993,)
(...and coronavirus may be worse than your average acute respiratory failure bug,)
(...and ventilators are better today than in '93.)

But HEY, it’s better than no info at all! 

Buckle up, this ride is about to begin.

You are super critical (very low blood oxygen levels, pressurized oxygen not working) so…

You get intubated with a high-tech ventilator, mechanically assisted breathing.

You have a 62% chance of living long enough to have the tube removed and be “weaned” from the ventilator. [38% chance of dying, pre-weaning]

If you lived, you now have a 46%  chance of living until they release you from ICU into the general hospital population.

If you made it through that, things are looking up. You have a 43% chance of living until you are discharged.

THEN you have a 30% chance of living another year! 

After that, you are on you own. You might make it to 105.


DON’T PANIC
Remember, these nauseating numbers are strictly about men (only, alas) who are so sick they have to be ventilated.  Maybe for men that sick, these numbers aren’t all that bad.

A couple paragraphs from the 1993 study 

We reviewed a 5-year experience with mechanical ventilation in 383 men with acute respiratory failure (NOT CORONAVIRUS) and studied the impact of patient age, cause of acute respiratory failure, and duration of mechanical ventilation on survival.


When our data were combined with 10 previously reported series, mean survival rates were calculated to be 62 percent to ventilator weaning, 46 percent to ICU discharge, 43 percent to hospital discharge, and 30 percent to 1 year after discharge. Of 255 patients weaned from mechanical ventilation, 44 (17.3 percent) required an additional period of mechanical ventilation during the same hospitalization.


CHALLENGE.  IF YOU FIND MORE RECENT, COVID-19 DATA ON THIS, PLEASE DROP ME AN EMAIL WITH THE LINK TO YOUR SOURCE.  I WILL UPDATE THIS ASAP. duffworx@earthlink.net


*pix credit    (A very good YouTube on "weaning")

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Teddy and Bernie

Image
By Gosh, I Think I've Got It! Bernie caught some gaff for having a narrow focus campaign. Here's how he's going to broaden it out. IMHO. And that doesn't mean he's running for anything,  just being Bernie. * Teddy as the model for... ...The New Bernie campaign? * I was zapping through the pile of political pitches I get everyday on my old fashioned e-mail (wduffer@aol.com), zap, zap, zap... Congressmen from Colorado, Florida, Ohio... on and on, Democrats I never heard of, but I'm on "The List." I don't get irritated, I just get rid of the ads; I mean after all, they're Democrats. After I finished my zapping, I had a snack and set to recording another audiobook chapter. Then it hit me, based on one of the ads I zapped.  Here 'tis: It was when I dragged it up again that I noticed it was a Bernie ad, and I said, "That's it!" Do you how many great quotes flowed from Teddy R? About half of them ar...
Read more

Scooter Duff's Theory of Cosmology [UPDATED 5.4.24]

Image
 [Olde Duff Gets Seriouser] SUPERMASSIVE BLACK HOLES  ARE MOSTLY PRIMORDIAL  DARK MATTER [Draft 8/19/2023] [UPDATED 5.4.24] & [9.25.24] THE BIG NEWS.. ..Is from the James Webb Space Telescope. There were furiously active galaxies very soon after the Big Bang, not that long after the first generation stars happened. This implies supermassive black holes at the centers of the new galaxies.  The question, "how did these giant black holes get there so early?" seems not quite answered by the two main contenders, "Giant dust collapse," and "Many stellar black holes consolidating." Thus I decided to toss this hat into the ring: At the big bang, and dark matter was the first matter of any kind to form (perhaps during the mysterious “inflation” event -- my personal theory).  It’s mutual gravitational attraction and lack of interaction to any electromagnetic force allowed it to exist and start to coalesce, even in the heat of the BB, long before baryonic matter ...
Read more

Bot Spotting - Seriously

Image
If you have opinions, and you have "proof," better check your sources! TWITTER IS THE BOT SWAMP Here is a detailed method of spotting bot tweets; twelve techniques: The trick in some cases is finding the non-human  number of tweets. @BlackManTrump, a hyperactive account, posted 89,944 tweets between August 28, 2016 and December 19, 2016 (see archive   here ), an average of 789 posts per day. The account  @sunneversets100 , an amplifier of pro-Kremlin messaging, was created on November 14, 2016. On August 28, 2017, it was 288 days old. In that period, it posted 203,197 tweets (again, the exact figure can be found by hovering the mouse over the “Tweets” entry). Watch for " Amplification " When a fake news story gets re-tweeted a bunch, you might think "Gee, it must be true. I see it everywhere." You are the victim of classic BIG LIE propaganda technique in the social media world. Remember, the Russians are the world leaders in weaponiz...
Read more